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How $15.8 Billion in Sanctioned Crypto Transactions Exposed the Limits of Crypto Enforcement in 2024

Jul, 22 2025

How $15.8 Billion in Sanctioned Crypto Transactions Exposed the Limits of Crypto Enforcement in 2024
  • By: Tamsin Quellary
  • 2 Comments
  • Cryptocurrency

Sanctioned Crypto Transaction Estimator

How Analytics Firms Calculate Sanctioned Transactions

Different blockchain analytics firms report varying figures for sanctioned crypto transactions because they use different methodologies. The $15.8 billion figure from Chainalysis includes all transactions with known sanctioned addresses. TRM Labs uses more restrictive criteria, while CoinLaw.io focuses only on direct transactions to OFAC-listed wallets.

68%
Bitcoin transactions linked to sanctioned wallets
20%
Ethereum transactions linked to sanctioned wallets
12%
Stablecoins (USDT, USDC) transactions
$
Bitcoin

68% of sanctioned transactions

Estimated amount: $10.74B
Ethereum

20% of sanctioned transactions

Estimated amount: $3.16B
Stablecoins

12% of sanctioned transactions

Estimated amount: $1.89B

How Methodology Affects Results

Chainalysis includes any wallet that interacted with a sanctioned address (e.g., money laundering transactions).

TRM Labs only counts direct transactions to OFAC-listed wallets, excluding intermediary steps.

CoinLaw.io uses the most restrictive criteria, counting only transactions to known sanctioned entities.

In 2024, sanctioned crypto transactions hit a record $15.8 billion - a number that shouldn’t have been possible. Not because crypto is untraceable, but because enforcement is playing catch-up in a game where bad actors are moving faster than regulators can react.

Who’s Really Behind the $15.8 Billion?

This isn’t random noise. Nearly 60% of that total came from sanctioned countries - mostly Iran and Russia. Iran’s centralized exchanges, like Garantex and Nobitex, became the main pipelines for moving money out of the country. People weren’t just trading Bitcoin - they were using it to bypass freezing bank accounts and avoid capital controls. Russia’s role was even more targeted: $800 million in ransomware payments flowed through sanctioned wallets. That’s not speculation. That’s data from Chainalysis, TRM Labs, and U.S. Treasury filings.

The biggest names in crypto crime? Ransomware gangs like Conti, LockBit, and Black Basta. They didn’t vanish after sanctions hit. They just moved their cash through crypto. Garantex, a now-sanctioned exchange, handled millions in payments from these groups. One money launderer, Ekaterina Zhdanova, converted over $2 million in Bitcoin to Tether (USDT) through the same platform. These aren’t ghosts. They’re real people with real wallets - and regulators now know exactly where they are.

Bitcoin Still Rules the Sanctioned Underground

You might think privacy coins like Monero or Zcash are the go-to for criminals. But in 2024, Bitcoin was the backbone of sanctioned activity. It made up 68% of all transactions tied to OFAC-designated wallets. Ethereum followed at 20%. Stablecoins like USDT accounted for the rest - not because they’re anonymous, but because they’re stable. If you’re laundering money from ransomware, you don’t want your cash losing 30% of its value in a week.

Why Bitcoin? Because it’s the most liquid. It’s the easiest to move across borders without triggering traditional banking alerts. And because, despite being public on-chain, it’s still hard to link wallets to real identities - unless you’re tracking patterns over time.

That’s where blockchain analytics firms come in. Chainalysis, TRM Labs, and CoinLaw.io all track these flows. But here’s the problem: their numbers don’t match. Chainalysis says $15.8 billion. TRM Labs says $14.8 billion. CoinLaw.io says just $2.7 billion. Why the gap? Because each firm defines “sanctioned entity” differently. Some include any wallet that ever touched a sanctioned address. Others only count direct transactions to OFAC-listed wallets. One counts DeFi bridges. Another ignores them. The truth? No one has the full picture - but all agree on one thing: sanctions-related crypto is still the biggest source of illicit activity.

DeFi and Cross-Chain Bridges Are the New Escape Routes

The old way of laundering crypto was through centralized exchanges. You’d deposit, convert, withdraw. Easy. But now, exchanges like Garantex are shut down. So bad actors moved to DeFi.

In 2024, 33% of all illicit crypto funds passed through decentralized finance platforms. These aren’t banks. They’re smart contracts. No CEO. No KYC. No one to subpoena. Liquidity pools became money mules. OFAC flagged 150 of them. But shutting down a smart contract? You can’t. You can only blacklist addresses. And even then, criminals just create new ones.

Cross-chain bridges were used in 19% of sanctioned transactions. That means money moved from Bitcoin to Ethereum, then to Solana, then to Polygon - each time breaking the trail. One wallet might be flagged on Ethereum. But after three bridges? It’s invisible. These tools were built to make crypto interoperable. Instead, they became the perfect tool for evasion.

Money bags hopping between blockchain bridges in a DeFi labyrinth with blacklisted wallet

Why 2024 Was Different

In 2023, illicit crypto volume was higher - $21.9 billion in sanctioned inflows, according to TRM Labs. But in 2024, the total illicit volume dropped 24%. So why did sanctioned activity stay high? Because the nature of the crime changed.

More money came from countries. Less from individual scammers. Pig butchering scams - where people are tricked into investing in fake crypto projects - dropped 58%. Fraud-related inflows fell 40%. That’s good news. But the money that replaced it? It’s more dangerous. It’s state-backed. It’s organized. It’s designed to undermine global financial systems.

Iran didn’t just use crypto to avoid sanctions. It used crypto to keep its economy running. When Western banks cut off access, Iran’s government turned to crypto exchanges as unofficial banks. That’s not a loophole. That’s a strategy.

The Enforcement Gap

The U.S. Treasury sanctioned 13 crypto addresses in 2024 - the second-highest number in seven years. But here’s the catch: OFAC can list a wallet. They can freeze it. But they can’t stop someone from sending money to it. All they can do is tell exchanges: “Don’t touch this address.”

But what if the user isn’t on an exchange? What if they’re using a self-custody wallet? Or a peer-to-peer app? Or a non-KYC service in a country that doesn’t cooperate with the U.S.? Then enforcement stops.

The total crypto transaction volume in 2024 hit $10.6 trillion. That’s 56% more than 2023. Trying to track $15.8 billion in bad money within that ocean? It’s like finding a single drop of ink in a swimming pool - and the pool keeps getting bigger.

Chainalysis admits their estimates grow by 25% each year as they find new illicit addresses. That means the $15.8 billion we know about? It’s probably just the tip. The rest is still hidden.

Crypto transaction pool with tiny analysts arguing over .8B in sanctioned funds

What’s Next?

The race isn’t over. It’s accelerating. Regulators are building AI tools to spot patterns faster. They’re sharing data across countries. The EU, UK, and U.S. are starting to align on sanctions lists. But criminals are building better tools too.

Privacy coins are improving. New cross-chain protocols are launching. DeFi apps are adding “anti-sanction” features. And countries like Iran and Russia are building their own crypto ecosystems - with local exchanges, local stablecoins, and local blockchain networks that don’t connect to the rest of the world.

The real question isn’t whether we can stop these transactions. It’s whether we’re willing to sacrifice privacy, speed, and decentralization to try.

Key Takeaways

  • $15.8 billion in sanctioned crypto transactions in 2024 was mostly Bitcoin and Ethereum, not privacy coins.
  • Iran and Russia drove most of the activity - not individual scammers.
  • Garantex and Nobitex handled over 85% of inflows to sanctioned entities.
  • DeFi and cross-chain bridges made evasion easier than ever.
  • Enforcement can freeze wallets, but can’t stop transactions - especially outside regulated exchanges.

How did OFAC identify the $15.8 billion in sanctioned crypto transactions?

OFAC didn’t track the money directly. Blockchain analytics firms like Chainalysis and TRM Labs used transaction patterns, wallet clustering, and known address associations to trace funds linked to sanctioned entities. They combined on-chain data with real-world intelligence - like exchange registrations, IP addresses, and leaked documents - to link wallets to individuals or governments under sanctions. OFAC then used those findings to issue designations and pressure exchanges.

Why are Bitcoin and Ethereum used more than privacy coins in sanctioned transactions?

Privacy coins like Monero are harder to trace, but they’re also harder to trade. Most exchanges don’t list them. Banks won’t convert them. Bitcoin and Ethereum, on the other hand, are liquid, widely accepted, and easy to move through bridges or exchanges. Criminals prefer convenience over anonymity when they need to cash out. Stablecoins like USDT, built on Ethereum, let them move value without price swings - making them ideal for large-scale laundering.

Can you really stop crypto sanctions evasion with wallet blacklists?

Not really. Blacklisting works on centralized exchanges - if they comply. But if someone uses a non-KYC wallet, a peer-to-peer app, or a decentralized exchange, there’s no one to block. Once funds leave a regulated platform, they can hop across chains, mix with clean funds, or sit in a wallet for years. Blacklists are a starting point, not a solution.

Why do different analytics firms report different numbers for sanctioned crypto?

Each firm uses different criteria. Some count any wallet that ever interacted with a sanctioned address. Others only count direct transfers. Some include DeFi transactions. Others exclude them. Some use AI to predict new addresses. Others rely on manual verification. There’s no global standard. That’s why the range goes from $2.7 billion to $15.8 billion - all of them are “right” within their own methodology.

Is crypto becoming a tool for state-sponsored sanctions evasion?

Yes. In 2024, nearly 60% of illicit crypto volume came from sanctioned countries, not individual criminals. This isn’t just about hackers or scammers anymore. It’s about governments using crypto as an alternative financial system - bypassing SWIFT, freezing bank accounts, and international trade restrictions. Iran and Russia are building their own crypto infrastructure. This is a geopolitical shift, not just a tech issue.

Tags: sanctioned crypto transactions OFAC crypto enforcement crypto sanctions 2024 illicit crypto activity blockchain sanctions

2 Comments

Jennifer Morton-Riggs
  • Tamsin Quellary

It's wild how everyone acts like crypto is this wild west when the truth is, it's just capitalism with extra steps. The fact that Iran and Russia are using it as a workaround doesn't mean crypto is broken-it means the old financial system is brittle. We're treating digital money like it's supposed to behave like banks, but it never was meant to. The real failure is clinging to centralized control in a decentralized world.

And don't even get me started on the analytics firms. They're not reporting data-they're selling narratives. $2.7 billion vs $15.8 billion? That's not a discrepancy, that's a business model.

Kathy Alexander
  • Tamsin Quellary

The $15.8 billion figure is a myth constructed by firms that profit from fear. Chainalysis and TRM Labs have a vested interest in inflating numbers so governments keep funding them. The real illicit volume? Probably under $5 billion. Most of that 'sanctioned' activity is just people in Iran buying groceries online with USDT because their banks got frozen. Calling that 'state-sponsored evasion' is propaganda.

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